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Alphabet down premarket after Q4 earnings beat. What’s happening

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Google projects significant AI spending increase

Alphabet’s shares were down in premarket trading on Tuesday after the company beat Wall Street’s expectations on earnings and revenue, with AI spending projected to increase hugely this year.

The Google parent shed 2.6% in premarket as of 6:09 a.m. ET, after closing nearly 2% lower on Wednesday. After the bell, Alphabet reported $113.83 billion in revenue in the fourth quarter, above the estimated $111.43 billion from analysts polled by LSEG.

Its Google Cloud division earned $17.66 billion in revenue versus a forecast of $16.18 billion, according to Street Account. YouTube Advertising earned $11.38 billion in revenue versus the estimated $11.84 billion.

The tech giant said it would significantly increase its 2026 capital expenditure to between $175 billion and $185 billion — more than double its 2025 spend. A significant portion of capex spending would go towards investing in AI compute capacity for Google DeepMind.

What analysts are saying

Barclays analysts said in a note on Thursday that Infrastructure, DeepMind, and Waymo costs “weighed on overall Alphabet profitability,” and will continue to do so in 2026.

“Cloud’s growth is astonishing, measured by any metric: revenue, backlog, API tokens inferenced, enterprise adoption of Gemini. These metrics combined with DeepMind’s progress on the model side, starts to justify the 100% increase in capex in ’26,” they said.

“The AI story is getting better while Search is accelerating – that’s the most important take for GOOG,” they added.

Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note on Thursday that Alphabet has “stunned the world” with its huge capex spending plan. “With tech in a current state of flux, it’s not clear whether that’s a good or a bad thing,” they wrote.



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