Scott Matherson
As October approaches, investors are looking ahead to what the month will bring this time around for Bitcoin and the entire crypto industry. Historically, October (often referred to as “Uptober”) has been a month of significant upward momentum for Bitcoin since the crypto’s creation.
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With the previous year’s October seeing impressive gains and kickstarting a strong bull run, many investors are keenly analyzing market trends to predict where Bitcoin might be headed this time around.
Historical Context Of Uptober And What It Means For Bitcoin
Bitcoin might have a smaller history when compared to traditional asset classes, but it has had a strong history of notable patterns and repetitions. One of these is the concept of a bullish October among other months of the year.
Over the past several years, October has consistently delivered positive returns for BTC. This pattern has fostered a strong belief among investors that the coming October may hold favorable conditions for price growth, especially as market sentiment shifts towards optimism after the recent Fed interest rate cut.
According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has had green monthly closes in October for the past five years. Furthermore, out of the eleven years since Bitcoin’s inception, it has recorded positive monthly closes in October on nine occasions. As expected, this consistent performance has solidified October’s reputation as a month of promise for the crypto.
For instance, Bitcoin surged by 28.52% in October 2023. This significant uptick not only marked a successful month but also paved the way for a sustained multi-month rally that ultimately saw Bitcoin reaching an all-time high of $73,780 in March 2024. Looking ahead to October 2024, if Bitcoin were to replicate a similar 28% increase, we could witness it surpassing its previous all-time high, potentially peaking above $81,000.
Current Market Sentiment
Bitcoin is currently navigating a wave of bullish sentiment, although its price growth is hampered by resistance around $63,000. To reach this price point, Bitcoin increased by about 21% last week from a low of $52,827 on September 6.
With a week remaining in September, Bitcoin’s stabilization around $63,000 indicates a possible support base for an upcoming rally. Bitcoin is also largely in a phase of accumulation, which may see smart large investors loading up throughout next week before the foreseen rally in October.
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With the clock ticking down to October, all eyes are on Bitcoin. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $63,010. This price point could soon become a thing of the past with the projections of a bull run in October. However, caution is advised, as the price performance in the last week of September could make or break a bullish sentiment leading into October.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView